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So just how to look at this is that when we are down below 20% within the X-axis (less than twenty% h2o inside the oil), There exists zero about the y-axis (the h2o will likely not stream from the rock in any respect). As we get previously mentioned 20% water saturation, the stream of drinking water will increase rapidly, right up until above eighty% drinking water, there's no circulation of oil in any respect.
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This is the rapid increase in Saudi production from April 2004 to August 2004. I've prompt, based on analyzing the in depth discussion in OPEC Every month Oil Industry Reports, this was a deliberate work to moderate prices while in the facial area of increasing need and prices rising much over the agreed OPEC value band at the time.
This can be from a numerical simulation of the development from the reservoir eventually. Nonetheless, Saudi Aramco heritage-matches their reservoir models with considerable amounts of nicely log data, so it is most likely a reasonably accurate photo on the historical past of the field. The variable remaining plotted is drinking water saturation - which is The proportion of the pore volume while in the rock that is full of drinking water, rather than oil. In Ghawar, the reservoir pressure is managed these that there is no fuel cap (the gas is dissolved inside the oil), and Therefore the pores are crammed with oil, water, or a mixture.
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Now, how much time ahead of the purple zone is long gone? Let me remind you on the simulation image once again, to avoid wasting on scrolling: